--- title: "Shackled case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Shackled ($0.30) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 106.18% over 55 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/33 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Shackled](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/33) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Shackled A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/33?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/33?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/33) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/33?window=all) Price · $0.30 · 0.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $0.27 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 106.18% · 55 openings, odds method Variance · 7.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 28.4% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 71.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 2 openings · below min 7 days · 55 openings · below min 30 days · 55 openings · below min since tracking started · 55 openings · below min -0.5% 223.5% 447.5% **Small sample.** 55 openings and 15.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/33?window=24h) | 2 | 63.33% ±383.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/33?window=7d) | 55 | 106.18% ±73.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/33) | 55 | 106.18% ±73.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/33?window=all) | 55 | 106.18% ±73.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 55 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $77.00 77 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $3.42 3.42 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Natus Vincere \| London 2018 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-london-2018) | 1 in 17 | $1.27 1.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 27.6% | 6 | 3.2 | 1.86× | | [Sticker \| Summer \| Katowice 2019 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-summer-katowice-2019) | 1 in 12 | $0.38 0.38 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.0% | 8 | 4.7 | 1.71× | | [Sticker \| WorldEdit \| Katowice 2019 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-worldedit-katowice-2019) | 13.8% | $0.36 0.36 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.4% | 6 | 7.6 | 0.79× | | [Negev \| Prototype (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-prototype-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $0.24 0.24 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 4 | 1.8 | 2.26× | | [Sticker \| Good Versus Evil sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-good-versus-evil) | 19.1% | $0.19 0.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.4% | 11 | 10.5 | 1.05× | | [SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) | 21.7% | $0.17 0.17 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.7% | 5 | 11.9 | 0.42× | | [Sticker \| Nademan sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nademan) | 16.4% | $0.08 0.08 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.9% | 7 | 9.0 | 0.77× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| X-Axes (Blood Red) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-x-axes-blood-red) | 11.1% | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 8 | 6.1 | 1.30× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=33`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=33) [Sticker | Good Versus Evil sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-good-versus-evil) [Romanov](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Romanov) $0.30 0.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.19 0.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.63x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [Sticker | Good Versus Evil sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-good-versus-evil) [latvian licker](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/latvian%20licker) $0.30 0.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.19 0.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.63x 2026-11-10 18:59 UTC [Sticker | Nademan sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nademan) [Default Name](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Default%20Name) $0.30 0.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.08 0.08 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.27x 2026-11-10 12:30 UTC [SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) [LuisXvi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/LuisXvi) $0.30 0.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.17 0.17 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.57x 2026-11-10 05:40 UTC [Sticker | WorldEdit | Katowice 2019 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-worldedit-katowice-2019) [LuisXvi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/LuisXvi) $0.30 0.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.36 0.36 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.20x 2026-11-10 05:39 UTC [Sticker | Summer | Katowice 2019 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-summer-katowice-2019) [cartell](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/cartell) $0.30 0.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.38 0.38 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.27x 2026-11-09 19:50 UTC [Sticker | Good Versus Evil sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-good-versus-evil) [thisishawkyafeelme](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/thisishawkyafeelme) $0.30 0.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.19 0.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.63x 2026-11-09 18:20 UTC [Sticker | Nademan sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nademan) [thisishawkyafeelme](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/thisishawkyafeelme) $0.30 0.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.08 0.08 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.27x 2026-11-09 18:20 UTC [Sticker | Good Versus Evil sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-good-versus-evil) Hidden $0.30 0.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.19 0.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.63x 2026-11-09 17:00 UTC [Sticker | Natus Vincere | London 2018 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-london-2018) Hidden $0.30 0.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.27 1.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN 4.23x 2026-11-09 17:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.30 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.0% classified 0.3% #4B69FF 14.4% Rare 52.5% Consumer Grade 21.7% #B0C3D9 11.1% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt