--- title: "Frosty case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Frosty ($44.57) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 50.10% over 28 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/330 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Frosty](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/330) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Frosty A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/330?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/330?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/330) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/330?window=all) Price · $44.57 · 44.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $40.11 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 50.10% · 28 openings, odds method Variance · 22.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 40 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 28 openings · below min 30 days · 28 openings · below min since tracking started · 28 openings · below min -0.5% 112.0% 224.5% **Small sample.** 28 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/330?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/330?window=7d) | 28 | 50.10% ±173.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/330) | 28 | 50.10% ±173.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/330?window=all) | 28 | 50.10% ±173.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 28 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,900 4,900 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $1,800 1,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $1,376 1,376 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,000 1,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $700 700 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $400 400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Fall Hazard (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fall-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $250 250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.5% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $140 140 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.5% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $50.00 50 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.2% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.43× | | [Sticker \| Team EnVyUs (Foil) \| MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-envyus-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) | 25.0% | $15.00 15 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.3% | 7 | 7.0 | 1.00× | | [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Seasons (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-seasons-field-tested) | 30.0% | $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 10 | 8.4 | 1.19× | | [MP5-SD \| Liquidation (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-well-worn) | 32.5% | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 7 | 9.1 | 0.77× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=330`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=330) [Sticker | Team EnVyUs (Foil) | MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-envyus-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) Hidden $44.57 44.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $15.00 15 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.34x 2026-11-10 11:30 UTC [MP5-SD | Liquidation (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-well-worn) Hidden $44.57 44.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 11:30 UTC [MP5-SD | Liquidation (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-well-worn) Hidden $44.57 44.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 11:30 UTC [StatTrak™ XM1014 | Seasons (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-seasons-field-tested) Hidden $44.57 44.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-10 11:30 UTC [MP5-SD | Liquidation (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-well-worn) Hidden $44.57 44.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 11:30 UTC [Sticker | Team EnVyUs (Foil) | MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-envyus-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) [BigD](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/BigD) $44.57 44.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $15.00 15 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.34x 2026-11-10 11:30 UTC [Sticker | Team EnVyUs (Foil) | MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-envyus-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) Hidden $44.57 44.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $15.00 15 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.34x 2026-11-10 11:09 UTC [StatTrak™ XM1014 | Seasons (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-seasons-field-tested) Hidden $44.57 44.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-10 10:28 UTC [Sticker | Team EnVyUs (Foil) | MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-envyus-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) Hidden $44.57 44.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $15.00 15 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.34x 2026-11-10 10:28 UTC [Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fall-hazard-factory-new) Hidden $44.57 44.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $250 250 CSGOBIG\_COIN 5.61x 2026-11-10 10:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $44.57 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.3% epic 0.2% classified 2.5% covert 9.5% #D32CE6 25.0% restricted 30.0% milspec 32.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt