--- title: "Killzone case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Killzone ($1,434.83) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 20 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/343 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:06Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Killzone](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/343) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Killzone A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/343?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/343?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/343) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/343?window=all) Price · $1,434.83 · 1,435 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,291.35 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 18.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/343?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/343?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/343) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/343?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent - 4x IBP (Factory New) weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-4x-ibp-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $140K 140,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 500 | $68K 68,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 500 | $40K 40,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 333 | $30K 30,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $16K 16,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $10K 10,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $8,000 8,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 100 | $6,200 6,200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $4,600 4,600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $3,500 3,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $2,500 2,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $2,000 2,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $1,500 1,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $1,100 1,100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $700 700 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hand-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $400 400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $300 300 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Survival Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-damascus-steel-battle-scarred) | 12.0% | $80.00 80 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-minimal-wear) | 37.0% | $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=343`, 11 Nov, 12:47 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=343) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1,435 | 90.00% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #EB4B4B 0.1% legendary 1.4% covert 51.1% extraordinary 2.4% classified 40.0% restricted 5.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt