--- title: "Heist case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Heist ($1,161.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 20 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/344 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Heist](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/344) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Heist A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/344?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/344?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/344) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/344?window=all) Price · $1,161.00 · 1,161 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,044.89 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 9.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 29 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 86.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/344?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/344?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/344) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/344?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) | 1 in 500 | $38K 38,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 333 | $27K 27,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $23K 23,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $17K 17,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 67 | $13K 13,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $5,700 5,700 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $2,800 2,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $1,860 1,860 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $1,220 1,220 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $930 930 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $618 618 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $435 435 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 18 | $300 300 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Stained (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-stained-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $215 215 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $111 111 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Badlands (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-badlands-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $72.00 72 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Hydra (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $41.00 41 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Predator (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-predator-well-worn) | 10.0% | $17.00 17 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P90 \| Trigon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-trigon-battle-scarred) | 23.0% | $7.80 7.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=344`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=344) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1,161 | 90.00% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed base 0.2% remarkable 0.3% covert 26.0% extraordinary 8.0% classified 33.0% epic 4.0% covert knife 11.5% gold 7.0% industrial 10.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt