--- title: "Pirate Treasure case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Pirate Treasure ($3,266.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 15 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/346 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Pirate Treasure](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/346) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Pirate Treasure A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/346?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/346?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/346) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/346?window=all) Price · $3,266.00 · 3,266 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $2,939.37 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 4.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/346?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/346?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/346) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/346?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 333 | $78.9K 78,890 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $49K 49,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 143 | $35K 35,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 111 | $27K 27,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 38 | $13K 13,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 33 | $10.4K 10,450 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 33 | $8,650 8,650 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $5,085 5,085 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 20 | $3,400 3,400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $2,500 2,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $1,835 1,835 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1,325 1,325 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $880 880 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 15.0% | $500 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 28.0% | $180 180 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=346`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=346) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3,266 | 90.00% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed remarkable 1.2% covert 58.5% legendary 0.7% extraordinary 2.6% restricted 10.0% classified 12.0% Immortal 15.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt