--- title: "Miracle case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Miracle ($1,022.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/351 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Miracle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/351) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Miracle A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/351?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/351?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/351) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/351?window=all) Price · $1,022.00 · 1,022 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $919.80 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 18.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 53 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/351?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/351?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/351) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/351?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $72.5K 72,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $47K 47,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $31K 31,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) | 1 in 333 | $25K 25,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 250 | $22K 22,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 125 | $17K 17,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 83 | $14K 14,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 56 | $10.6K 10,600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $960 960 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Night (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-night-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $570 570 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Classic Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $323 323 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $80.00 80 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-battle-scarred) | 16.3% | $35.00 35 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-field-tested) | 22.0% | $13.00 13 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 30.0% | $3.80 3.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=351`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=351) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1,022 | 90.00% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.1% covert 20.7% extraordinary 0.2% base 0.3% remarkable 0.4% #ffd700 3.0% gold 7.0% red 16.3% blue 22.0% Ancient 30.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt