--- title: "Rags To Riches case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Rags To Riches ($65.32) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 22.24% over 42 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/353 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Rags To Riches](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/353) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Rags To Riches A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/353?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/353?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/353) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/353?window=all) Price · $65.32 · 65.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $58.79 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 22.24% · 42 openings, odds method Variance · 76.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 2 openings · below min 7 days · 23 openings · below min 30 days · 42 openings · below min since tracking started · 42 openings · below min -0.5% 609.7% 1220.0% **Small sample.** 42 openings and 0.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/353?window=24h) | 2 | 8.42% ±1210.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/353?window=7d) | 23 | 24.03% ±357.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/353) | 42 | 22.24% ±264.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/353?window=all) | 42 | 22.24% ±264.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 42 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $13.9K 13,860 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 23.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $5,800 5,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 143 | $3,150 3,150 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 37.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $48.00 48 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.7% | 6 | 2.9 | 2.04× | | [P250 \| Undertow (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-minimal-wear) | 11.0% | $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.87× | | [Glock-18 \| Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-brass-field-tested) | 15.0% | $15.00 15 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.8% | 5 | 6.3 | 0.79× | | [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-well-worn) | 17.0% | $9.00 9 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 10 | 7.1 | 1.40× | | [FAMAS \| Pulse (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-well-worn) | 21.0% | $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 9 | 8.8 | 1.02× | | [Sticker \| Vortigaunt (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vortigaunt-holo) | 17.0% | $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 6 | 7.1 | 0.84× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) | 11.0% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 2 | 4.6 | 0.43× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=353`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=353) [M4A4 | The Coalition (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-well-worn) Hidden $65.32 65.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN $9.00 9 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-11 03:18 UTC [Sticker | Vortigaunt (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vortigaunt-holo) Hidden $65.32 65.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 03:18 UTC [P250 | Undertow (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-minimal-wear) Hidden $65.32 65.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.38x 2026-11-10 09:39 UTC [M4A4 | The Coalition (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-well-worn) Hidden $65.32 65.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN $9.00 9 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-10 09:39 UTC [M4A4 | The Coalition (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-well-worn) Hidden $65.32 65.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN $9.00 9 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-09 09:26 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) Hidden $65.32 65.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN $48.00 48 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.73x 2026-11-09 06:59 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $65.32 65.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 06:59 UTC [M4A4 | The Coalition (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-well-worn) [PetFog](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/PetFog) $65.32 65.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN $9.00 9 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-09 06:59 UTC [FAMAS | Pulse (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-well-worn) Hidden $65.32 65.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-09 06:59 UTC [Glock-18 | Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-brass-field-tested) Hidden $65.32 65.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN $15.00 15 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.23x 2026-11-09 05:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $65.32 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 8.0% classified 11.0% Restricted 15.0% red 17.0% restricted 21.0% Mythical 17.0% consumer 11.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt