--- title: "Galaxy case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Galaxy ($490.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 11 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/355 rendered: 2026-11-12T09:06Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Galaxy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/355) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Galaxy A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/355?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/355?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/355) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/355?window=all) Price · $490.00 · 490 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $441.00 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 13.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 91.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/355?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/355?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/355) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/355?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 100 | $13.7K 13,700 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 31.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 100 | $8,600 8,600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) | 1 in 100 | $6,500 6,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 100 | $4,800 4,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 100 | $3,300 3,300 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 100 | $2,250 2,250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 100 | $1,900 1,900 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 100 | $1,500 1,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 100 | $720 720 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 100 | $420 420 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Akihabara Accept Surf Ava (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-akihabara-accept-surf-ava-foil) | 90.0% | $4.55 4.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=355`, 12 Nov, 07:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=355) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $490 | 90.00% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 9.0% #EB4B4B 1.0% exotic 90.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. 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