--- title: "Exotic case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Exotic ($9,394.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 17 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/360 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/360) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Exotic A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/360?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/360?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/360) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/360?window=all) Price · $9,394.00 · 9,394 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $8,454.65 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 3.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/360?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/360?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/360) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/360?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $250K 250,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl - 4x IBP (Factory New) weapon · #E4AE39](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-4x-ibp-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $150K 150,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) - Pattern 661 StatTrak · weapon · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear-pattern-661) | 1 in 143 | $100K 100,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 111 | $75K 75,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 77 | $52K 52,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) | 1 in 59 | $29K 29,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 43 | $22K 22,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 32 | $17K 17,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 24 | $15K 15,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 21 | $10K 10,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 19 | $8,250 8,250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $6,100 6,100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 12 | $4,750 4,750 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) | 10.6% | $4,100 4,100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 11.8% | $2,800 2,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 17.3% | $2,400 2,400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-factory-new) | 20.2% | $1,900 1,900 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=360`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=360) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $9,394 | 90.00% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 55.3% #E4AE39 0.3% #D32CE6 0.7% legendary 38.4% remarkable 3.6% base 1.7% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt