--- title: "Blazing Lore case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Blazing Lore ($657.69) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/370 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Blazing Lore](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/370) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Blazing Lore A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/370?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/370?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/370) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/370?window=all) Price · $657.69 · 658 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $591.93 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 14.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 26 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 84.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/370?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/370?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/370) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/370?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $48K 48,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 500 | $37K 37,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| HellRaisers (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 333 | $12K 12,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $8,500 8,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $5,800 5,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 125 | $4,200 4,200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $3,500 3,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| The Prince (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $2,100 2,100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $1,400 1,400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-field-tested) | 13.2% | $500 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-damascus-steel-battle-scarred) | 24.3% | $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-minimal-wear) | 47.3% | $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=370`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=370) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $658 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 42.2% legendary 0.2% remarkable 0.3% contraband 0.4% extraordinary 1.5% restricted 8.1% classified 47.3% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt