---
title: "Golden Charm case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Golden Charm ($161.47) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 14 items with odds, observed 6.19% over 2 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/371
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:36Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Golden Charm](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/371)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Golden Charm

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/371?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/371?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/371) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/371?window=all)

Price · $161.47 · 161 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $145.32 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 6.19% · 2 openings, odds method

Variance · 46.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 111 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 88.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 2 openings · below min

7 days · 2 openings · below min

30 days · 2 openings · below min

since tracking started · 2 openings · below min

-0.5% 475.5% 951.5%

**Small sample.** 2 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/371?window=24h) | 2 | 6.19% ±944.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/371?window=7d) | 2 | 6.19% ±944.5 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/371) | 2 | 6.19% ±944.5 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/371?window=all) | 2 | 6.19% ±944.5 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,000 | $28.5K 28,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $23.5K 23,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $11K 11,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 500 | $9,000 9,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 500 | $8,000 8,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 333 | $6,500 6,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $500 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hand-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $400 400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $300 300 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $200 200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP9 \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $120 120 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 13.1% | $48.00 48 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) | 26.5% | $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-factory-new) | 38.5% | $4.90 4.9 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.8 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=371`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=371)

[Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) Hidden $161 161 CSGOBIG\_COIN $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 22:30 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) Hidden $161 161 CSGOBIG\_COIN $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 22:30 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $161 | 90.00% | 14 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed remarkable 0.1% covert 48.5% restricted 41.5% mil spec 10.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt