---
title: "Precious case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Precious ($520.92) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/373
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Precious](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/373)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Precious

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/373?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/373?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/373) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/373?window=all)

Price · $520.92 · 521 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $468.83 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 14.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 18 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 76.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/373?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/373?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/373) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/373?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $52K 52,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $40K 40,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,000 | $28K 28,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,000 | $20K 20,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $15K 15,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $10K 10,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $5,800 5,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $3,000 3,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $2,200 2,200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $1,200 1,200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $760 760 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $600 600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) | 10.0% | $200 200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 13.0% | $92.00 92 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 21.0% | $48.00 48 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) | 32.1% | $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=373`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=373)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $521 | 90.00% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.4% covert 90.5% remarkable 0.1% #EB4B4B 0.1% extraordinary 0.2% epic 8.8%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
