--- title: "The Beast case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "The Beast ($8.84) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 8 items with odds, observed 93.31% over 46 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/377 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:06Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [The Beast](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/377) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · The Beast A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/377?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/377?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/377) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/377?window=all) Price · $8.84 · 8.84 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $7.95 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.31% · 46 openings, odds method Variance · 2.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 11.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 9 openings · below min 7 days · 34 openings · below min 30 days · 46 openings · below min since tracking started · 46 openings · below min -0.5% 81.0% 162.5% **Small sample.** 46 openings and 5.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/377?window=24h) | 9 | 53.62% ±108.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/377?window=7d) | 34 | 102.10% ±55.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/377) | 46 | 93.31% ±47.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/377?window=all) | 46 | 93.31% ±47.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 46 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $76.74 76.74 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 38.6% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.09× | | [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $15.21 15.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.4% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.24× | | [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $11.18 11.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.7% | 6 | 4.1 | 1.45× | | [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $9.48 9.48 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.9% | 1 | 4.6 | 0.22× | | [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-battle-scarred) | 14.0% | $4.74 4.74 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.3% | 5 | 6.4 | 0.78× | | [M4A4 \| Griffin (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-well-worn) | 16.0% | $3.01 3.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.1% | 12 | 7.4 | 1.63× | | [AUG \| Chameleon (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-field-tested) | 20.0% | $1.84 1.84 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.6% | 7 | 9.2 | 0.76× | | [AWP \| Atheris (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-well-worn) | 20.0% | $1.76 1.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 9 | 9.2 | 0.98× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=377`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=377) [M4A4 | Griffin (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-well-worn) [Default Name](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Default%20Name) $8.84 8.84 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.01 3.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.34x 2026-11-11 00:30 UTC [M4A4 | Griffin (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-well-worn) [ImAzonic](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/ImAzonic) $8.84 8.84 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.01 3.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.34x 2026-11-11 00:30 UTC [AWP | Atheris (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-well-worn) [ImAzonic](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/ImAzonic) $8.84 8.84 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.76 1.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.20x 2026-11-11 00:30 UTC [Nova | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) [Default Name](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Default%20Name) $8.84 8.84 CSGOBIG\_COIN $11.18 11.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.26x 2026-11-11 00:30 UTC [Nova | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) [Default Name](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Default%20Name) $8.84 8.84 CSGOBIG\_COIN $11.18 11.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.26x 2026-11-11 00:30 UTC [M4A4 | Griffin (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-well-worn) [peterschmitt7369](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/peterschmitt7369) $8.84 8.84 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.01 3.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.34x 2026-11-11 00:30 UTC [AWP | Atheris (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-well-worn) [Default Name](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Default%20Name) $8.84 8.84 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.76 1.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.20x 2026-11-11 00:30 UTC [M4A4 | Griffin (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-well-worn) [peterschmitt7369](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/peterschmitt7369) $8.84 8.84 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.01 3.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.34x 2026-11-11 00:30 UTC [M4A1-S | Nightmare (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-battle-scarred) [dabros](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/dabros) $8.84 8.84 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.74 4.74 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.54x 2026-11-11 00:30 UTC [AUG | Chameleon (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-field-tested) Hidden $8.84 8.84 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.84 1.84 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-10 09:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $8.84 | 89.97% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 41.0% classified 23.0% restricted 36.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt