--- title: "Dune Runner case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Dune Runner ($8.99) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 7 items with odds, observed 403.00% over 11 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/380 rendered: 2026-11-11T21:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Dune Runner](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/380) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Dune Runner A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/380?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/380?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/380) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/380?window=all) Price · $8.99 · 8.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $8.09 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 403.00% · 11 openings, odds method Variance · 16.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 84.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 3 openings · below min 7 days · 11 openings · below min 30 days · 11 openings · below min since tracking started · 11 openings · below min -0.5% 321.8% 644.0% **Small sample.** 11 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/380?window=24h) | 3 | 69.04% ±460.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/380?window=7d) | 11 | 403.00% ±240.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/380) | 11 | 403.00% ±240.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/380?window=all) | 11 | 403.00% ±240.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 11 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $363 363 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 44.9% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $34.45 34.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 21.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [P90 \| Tiger Pit (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-tiger-pit-factory-new) | 10.0% | $12.39 12.39 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.3% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.91× | | [USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) | 17.0% | $5.87 5.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.3% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.60× | | [P90 \| Desert Warfare (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-desert-warfare-field-tested) | 19.0% | $2.13 2.13 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.0% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.96× | | [AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $0.36 0.36 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.91× | | [Glock-18 \| Death Rattle (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-minimal-wear) | 28.0% | $0.07 0.07 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.65× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=380`, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=380) [USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) [Kryux](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Kryux) $8.99 8.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.87 5.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.65x 2026-11-11 20:00 UTC [AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) Hidden $8.99 8.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.36 0.36 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:00 UTC [P90 | Tiger Pit (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-tiger-pit-factory-new) Hidden $8.99 8.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN $12.39 12.39 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.38x 2026-11-11 20:00 UTC [USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $8.99 8.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.87 5.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.65x 2026-11-10 12:28 UTC [AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) Hidden $8.99 8.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.36 0.36 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 08:49 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-minimal-wear) Hidden $8.99 8.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.07 0.07 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 08:49 UTC [P90 | Desert Warfare (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-desert-warfare-field-tested) Hidden $8.99 8.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.13 2.13 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.24x 2026-11-10 08:49 UTC [Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-factory-new) [emeRR-](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/emeRR-) $8.99 8.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN $363 363 CSGOBIG\_COIN 40.42x 2026-11-10 08:49 UTC [USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $8.99 8.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.87 5.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.65x 2026-11-10 08:49 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-minimal-wear) Hidden $8.99 8.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.07 0.07 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 08:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $8.99 | 89.99% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 1.0% covert 5.0% Rare 27.0% milspec 19.0% restricted 20.0% industrial 28.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt