--- title: "Firestorm case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Firestorm ($754.06) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 13 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/384 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Firestorm](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/384) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Firestorm A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/384?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/384?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/384) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/384?window=all) Price · $754.06 · 754 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $678.65 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 16.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/384?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/384?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/384) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/384?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $38.7K 38,700 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 28.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $12.3K 12,300 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 100 | $8,700 8,700 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $6,100 6,100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $3,600 3,600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $2,600 2,600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $1,100 1,100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $600 600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $260 260 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 11.0% | $125 125 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 15.0% | $42.00 42 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $19.00 19 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Fire in the Hole (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fire-in-the-hole-holo) | 30.0% | $4.00 4 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=384`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=384) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $754 | 90.00% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 44.5% contraband 0.5% extraordinary 5.0% epic 5.0% classified 15.0% remarkable 30.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt