--- title: "Glitchwave case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Glitchwave ($1,523.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 14 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/389 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Glitchwave](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/389) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Glitchwave A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/389?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/389?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/389) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/389?window=all) Price · $1,523.00 · 1,523 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,370.70 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 15.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 38 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 89.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/389?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/389?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/389) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/389?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $130K 130,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $75K 75,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 500 | $61K 61,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $53K 53,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 167 | $25K 25,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 71 | $13K 13,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 42 | $8,200 8,200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 19 | $3,400 3,400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $1,500 1,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $600 600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) | 12.0% | $250 250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) | 15.0% | $85.00 85 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-factory-new) | 19.0% | $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) | 25.0% | $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=389`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=389) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1,523 | 90.00% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 63.4% legendary 0.4% remarkable 0.8% contraband 1.4% Covert 15.0% mil spec 19.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt