---
title: "Chromatic case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Chromatic ($1,058.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 21 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/393
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:36Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Chromatic](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/393)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Chromatic

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/393?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/393?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/393) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/393?window=all)

Price · $1,058.00 · 1,058 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $952.20 from 21 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 22.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 40 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 92.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/393?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/393?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/393) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/393?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Field Tested) - Pattern 387 knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-field-tested-pattern-387) | 1 in 5,000 | $169K 169,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,000 | $90K 90,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,429 | $70K 70,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 833 | $50K 50,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 455 | $40K 40,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 286 | $23.5K 23,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 132 | $15K 15,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 109 | $11.2K 11,200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $10K 10,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 200 | $8,000 8,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 143 | $6,500 6,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 76 | $5,800 5,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $3,000 3,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Cologne 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-cologne-2014) | 1 in 20 | $700 700 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-dreamhack-2014) | 1 in 17 | $350 350 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $127 127 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $114 114 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $76.60 76.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Cloud9 (Holo) \| Cologne 2014 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9-holo-cologne-2014) | 10.0% | $55.00 55 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) | 30.0% | $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=393`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=393)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1,058 | 90.00% | 21 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed #EB4B4B 0.0% legendary 0.8% covert 58.1% remarkable 11.0% #8847FF 10.0% classified 20.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
