---
title: "Pink Galaxy case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Pink Galaxy ($43.65) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.14% from 8 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/396
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Pink Galaxy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/396)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Pink Galaxy

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/396?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/396?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/396) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/396?window=all)

Price · $43.65 · 43.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.14% · EV $39.35 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 4.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 83.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/396?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/396?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/396) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/396?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 33 | $508 508 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 38.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $120 120 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $57.88 57.88 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) | 11.0% | $36.55 36.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 13.0% | $19.81 19.81 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-factory-new) | 18.0% | $12.18 12.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 20.0% | $9.05 9.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 21.0% | $7.93 7.93 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=396`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=396)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $43.65 | 90.14% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 42.0% Ancient 8.0% classified 50.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.14 on average: an expected loss of $9.86 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt