---
title: "Arctic Predator case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Arctic Predator ($149.30) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/398
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:05Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Arctic Predator](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/398)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Arctic Predator

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/398?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/398?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/398) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/398?window=all)

Price · $149.30 · 149 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $134.37 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 2.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 83.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/398?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/398?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/398) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/398?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $2,246 2,246 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-whiteout-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $343 343 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $247 247 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-factory-new) | 15.0% | $123 123 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-factory-new) | 15.0% | $106 106 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) | 16.0% | $85.98 85.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 17.0% | $53.19 53.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $42.41 42.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=398`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=398)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $149 | 90.00% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 1.0% mil spec 22.0% covert 26.0% red 15.0% classified 36.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt