--- title: "Dreamshot case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Dreamshot ($2,354.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 17 items with odds, observed 118.95% over 1 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/402 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Dreamshot](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/402) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Dreamshot A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/402?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/402?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/402) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/402?window=all) Price · $2,354.00 · 2,354 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $2,118.60 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · 118.95% · 1 openings, odds method Variance · 7.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 1 openings · below min 30 days · 1 openings · below min since tracking started · 1 openings · below min -0.5% 327.5% 655.5% **Small sample.** 1 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/402?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/402?window=7d) | 1 | 118.95% ±536.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/402) | 1 | 118.95% ±536.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/402?window=all) | 1 | 118.95% ±536.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Field Tested) - Pattern 387 knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-field-tested-pattern-387) | 1 in 10,000 | $200K 200,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl - 4x IBP (Factory New) weapon · #E4AE39](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-4x-ibp-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $175K 175,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $120K 120,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus - 4x IBP (Factory New) weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-4x-ibp-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $100K 100,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir - 3x IBP (Factory New) weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-3x-ibp-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $90K 90,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,250 | $68K 68,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 625 | $51K 51,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) | 1 in 333 | $30K 30,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 125 | $23K 23,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 50 | $14K 14,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $6,000 6,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 14 | $3,400 3,400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| The Prince (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $2,800 2,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.9% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 12.0% | $1,500 1,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 15.0% | $800 800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 17.5% | $500 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-well-worn) | 31.0% | $210 210 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=402`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-minimal-wear) Hidden $2,354 2,354 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2,800 2,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.19x 2026-11-09 03:59 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=402) [AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-minimal-wear) Hidden $2,354 2,354 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2,800 2,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.19x 2026-11-09 03:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2,354 | 90.00% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #EB4B4B 0.1% #E4AE39 0.0% covert 62.5% legendary 5.2% base 0.3% remarkable 0.8% extraordinary 31.0% best hit $2,800 (1.19x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt