--- title: "Clout Chase case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Clout Chase ($25.19) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 12 items with odds, observed 158.46% over 12 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/404 rendered: 2026-11-12T01:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Clout Chase](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/404) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Clout Chase A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/404?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/404?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/404) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/404?window=all) Price · $25.19 · 25.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $22.67 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 158.46% · 12 openings, odds method Variance · 3.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 18.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 72.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min 47.0% 158.5% 270.0% **Small sample.** 12 openings and 2.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/404?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/404?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/404) | 12 | 158.46% ±110.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/404?window=all) | 12 | 158.46% ±110.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,339 3,339 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · #ffd700 · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 1,000 | $450 450 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $250 250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-minimal-wear) | 1 in 156 | $203 203 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.7% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $179 179 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Souvenir Tec-9 \| Toxic (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-tec-9-toxic-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $56.00 56 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-factory-new) | 10.0% | $50.00 50 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 22.1% | 4 | 1.2 | 3.33× | | [Dual Berettas \| Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-emerald-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $32.00 32 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.1% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [Souvenir M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-red-ddpat-factory-new) | 15.0% | $15.00 15 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.9% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× | | [UMP-45 \| Caramel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-caramel-battle-scarred) | 17.0% | $9.00 9 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.7% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× | | [Patch \| Entropiq (Gold) \| Stockholm 2021 patch · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-entropiq-gold-stockholm-2021) | 20.0% | $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× | | [P2000 \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.25× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=404`, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=404) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $25.19 | 89.99% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.3% #ffd700 0.1% extraordinary 0.6% Covert 2.0% mil spec 15.0% restricted 10.0% Restricted 15.0% #B0C3D9 17.0% #8847FF 20.0% #8847ff 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt