--- title: "Lore Galore case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Lore Galore ($310.27) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 13 items with odds, observed 8.07% over 8 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/408 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:06Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Lore Galore](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/408) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Lore Galore A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/408?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/408?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/408) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/408?window=all) Price · $310.27 · 310 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $279.25 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 8.07% · 8 openings, odds method Variance · 178.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 8 openings · below min since tracking started · 8 openings · below min -0.5% 467.5% 935.5% **Small sample.** 8 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/408?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/408?window=7d) | 8 | 8.07% ±926.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/408) | 8 | 8.07% ±926.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/408?window=all) | 8 | 8.07% ±926.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $350K 350,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $81K 81,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $35K 35,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $18K 18,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $12K 12,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 145 | $8,000 8,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $4,000 4,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $2,000 2,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $1,600 1,600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $1,400 1,400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $250 250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $200 200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [R8 Revolver \| Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) | 90.0% | $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 7 | 7.2 | 0.97× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=408`, 11 Nov, 12:47 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=408) [R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) Hidden $310 310 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-04 23:09 UTC [R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) Hidden $310 310 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-04 23:09 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-field-tested) Hidden $310 310 CSGOBIG\_COIN $200 200 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.64x 2026-11-04 23:09 UTC [R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) Hidden $310 310 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-04 23:09 UTC [R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) [Fan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Fan) $310 310 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-04 23:09 UTC [R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) Hidden $310 310 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-04 23:09 UTC [R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) [Getty](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Getty) $310 310 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-04 22:49 UTC [R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) Hidden $310 310 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-04 22:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $310 | 90.00% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 8.9% legendary 0.1% gold 1.0% #B0C3D9 90.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt