--- title: "Juiced 5% Knife case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Juiced 5% Knife ($10.15) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.02% from 10 items with odds, observed 49.10% over 292 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/409 rendered: 2026-11-11T12:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Juiced 5% Knife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/409) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Juiced 5% Knife A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/409?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/409?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/409) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/409?window=all) Price · $10.15 · 10.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.02% · EV $9.14 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 49.10% · 292 openings, odds method Variance · 29.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 36 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 18 openings · below min 7 days · 57.77% ±71.85 217 openings 30 days · 49.10% ±61.94 292 openings since tracking started · 49.10% ±61.94 292 openings -0.5% 125.0% 250.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/409?window=24h) | 18 | 0.49% ±249.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/409?window=7d) | 217 | 57.77% ±71.8 | −0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/409) | 292 | 49.10% ±61.9 | −1.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/409?window=all) | 292 | 49.10% ±61.9 | −1.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 292 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 20,000 | $2,750 2,750 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,450 1,450 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · #ffd700 · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 800 | $450 450 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 1,333 | $400 400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 134 | $250 250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.4% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.92× | | [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 400 | $200 200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.5% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $179 179 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 29.4% | 3 | 4.4 | 0.68× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 67 | $105 105 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.2% | 1 | 4.4 | 0.23× | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 133 | $99.00 99 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.1% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.46× | | [R8 Revolver \| Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) | 95.0% | $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 284 | 277.4 | 1.02× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=409`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=409) [R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) Hidden $10.15 10.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:29 UTC [R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) Hidden $10.15 10.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:49 UTC [R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) Hidden $10.15 10.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:49 UTC [R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) Hidden $10.15 10.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:49 UTC [R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) Hidden $10.15 10.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:49 UTC [R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) Hidden $10.15 10.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:50 UTC [R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) Hidden $10.15 10.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:50 UTC [R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) Hidden $10.15 10.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:50 UTC [R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) Hidden $10.15 10.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:50 UTC [R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) Hidden $10.15 10.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $10.15 | 90.02% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.9% #ffd700 0.1% #EB4B4B 0.3% Covert 1.5% covert knife 2.3% #B0C3D9 95.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.02 on average: an expected loss of $9.98 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt