--- title: "10% Knife V2 case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% Knife V2 ($27.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 28.91% over 344 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/41 rendered: 2026-11-11T12:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [10% Knife V2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/41) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · 10% Knife V2 A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/41?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/41?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/41) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/41?window=all) Price · $27.00 · 27 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $24.30 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 28.91% · 344 openings, odds method Variance · 28.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 27 openings · below min 7 days · 283 openings · below min 30 days · 344 openings · below min since tracking started · 344 openings · below min -0.5% 106.0% 212.5% **Small sample.** 344 openings and 3.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/41?window=24h) | 27 | 12.21% ±199.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/41?window=7d) | 283 | 27.63% ±61.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/41) | 344 | 28.91% ±56.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/41?window=all) | 344 | 28.91% ±56.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 344 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 200 | $1,800 1,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 37.0% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× | | [★ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $740 740 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.2% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $290 290 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.9% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $245 245 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.1% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.16× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $189 189 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.8% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.87× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $88.00 88 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.16× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $74.00 74 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.6% | 7 | 8.6 | 0.81× | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-urban-masked-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $63.76 63.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.6% | 4 | 8.6 | 0.47× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) | 90.0% | $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 322 | 309.6 | 1.04× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=41`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=41) [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.00 27 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:29 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.00 27 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:29 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.00 27 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:29 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.00 27 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:29 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.00 27 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 04:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.00 27 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 04:00 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.00 27 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 04:00 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.00 27 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:00 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-field-tested) [Wuened Costa](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Wuened%20Costa) $27.00 27 CSGOBIG\_COIN $88.00 88 CSGOBIG\_COIN 3.26x 2026-11-11 00:00 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) [SOARES DY MAMAE -CAMISA DÉS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/SOARES%20DY%20MAMAE%20-CAMISA%20D%C3%89S) $27.00 27 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $27.00 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 4.5% epic 0.5% gold 2.5% covert knife 2.5% consumer 90.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt