--- title: "Monolith case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Monolith ($6.53) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.07% from 14 items with odds, observed 46.60% over 141 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/413 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Monolith](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/413) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Monolith A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/413?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/413?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/413) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/413?window=all) Price · $6.53 · 6.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.07% · EV $5.88 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 46.60% · 141 openings, odds method Variance · 54.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 91 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 96.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 16 openings · below min 7 days · 114 openings · below min 30 days · 141 openings · below min since tracking started · 141 openings · below min -0.5% 187.8% 376.0% **Small sample.** 141 openings and 1.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/413?window=24h) | 16 | 12.50% ±362.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/413?window=7d) | 114 | 41.67% ±135.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/413) | 141 | 46.60% ±122.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/413?window=all) | 141 | 46.60% ±122.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 141 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,600 2,600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,900 1,900 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-night-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,500 1,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $1,100 1,100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $650 650 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pink-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $405 405 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $305 305 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 556 | $225 225 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 143 | $155 155 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.4% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 34.0% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.06× | | [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.5% | 13 | 14.1 | 0.92× | | [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-well-worn) | 15.0% | $1.86 1.86 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 31 | 21.1 | 1.47× | | [R8 Revolver \| Bone Forged (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-forged-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.18 0.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 32 | 28.2 | 1.13× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) | 51.9% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 62 | 73.2 | 0.85× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=413`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=413) [R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-forged-factory-new) Hidden $6.53 6.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.18 0.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 09:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $6.53 6.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $6.53 6.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:49 UTC [Desert Eagle | Heat Treated (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-well-worn) Hidden $6.53 6.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.86 1.86 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.28x 2026-11-11 09:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $6.53 6.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:49 UTC [MAC-10 | Stalker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-battle-scarred) Hidden $6.53 6.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.77x 2026-11-11 09:49 UTC [Desert Eagle | Heat Treated (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-well-worn) Hidden $6.53 6.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.86 1.86 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.28x 2026-11-11 09:49 UTC [R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-forged-factory-new) Hidden $6.53 6.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.18 0.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 09:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $6.53 6.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:49 UTC [Desert Eagle | Heat Treated (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-well-worn) Hidden $6.53 6.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.86 1.86 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.28x 2026-11-11 09:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $6.53 | 90.07% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 13.1% Restricted 0.1% pink 15.0% blue 20.0% consumer 51.9% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.07 on average: an expected loss of $9.93 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt