--- title: "Pixel Pop case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Pixel Pop ($10.21) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 13 items with odds, observed 55.12% over 10 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/417 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Pixel Pop](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/417) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Pixel Pop A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/417?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/417?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/417) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/417?window=all) Price · $10.21 · 10.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $9.19 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 55.12% · 10 openings, odds method Variance · 6.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 78.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 10 openings · below min since tracking started · 10 openings · below min -0.5% 113.3% 227.0% **Small sample.** 10 openings and 0.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/417?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/417?window=7d) | 6 | 16.08% ±210.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/417) | 10 | 55.12% ±162.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/417?window=all) | 10 | 55.12% ±162.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 10 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $1,450 1,450 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 20,000 | $917 917 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 2,000 | $785 785 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $105 105 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Well-Worn) (Phase 2) weapon · red · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-well-worn-phase-2) | 1 in 20 | $70.00 70 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 38.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $39.00 39 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blueprint (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blueprint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $26.00 26 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 10.0% | $15.00 15 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.3% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× | | [Sticker \| Sticker Bomb Surf K (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sticker-bomb-surf-k-foil) | 10.8% | $3.48 3.48 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.1% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-dragon-tech-factory-new) | 15.0% | $3.31 3.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× | | [StatTrak™ AUG \| Syd Mead (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-syd-mead-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.9% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.00× | | [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Praetorian (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-praetorian-well-worn) | 18.0% | $1.12 1.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 4 | 1.8 | 2.22× | | [M4A4 \| Magnesium (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $0.49 0.49 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.50× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=417`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=417) [StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-syd-mead-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.21 10.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.29x 2026-11-10 06:29 UTC [StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-praetorian-well-worn) Hidden $10.21 10.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.12 1.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-10 06:29 UTC [M4A4 | Magnesium (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-minimal-wear) [da ander](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/da%20ander) $10.21 10.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.49 0.49 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-10 06:29 UTC [StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-praetorian-well-worn) Hidden $10.21 10.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.12 1.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-10 06:19 UTC [StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-praetorian-well-worn) Hidden $10.21 10.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.12 1.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-09 19:39 UTC [StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-syd-mead-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.21 10.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.29x 2026-11-09 19:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $10.21 | 90.00% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.0% covert 3.1% covert knife 0.1% red 5.0% milspec 3.0% classified 25.0% exotic 10.8% Mythical 15.0% #8847FF 18.0% mil spec 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt