--- title: "Prestige case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Prestige ($2,020.54) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 17 items with odds, observed 17.57% over 3 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/418 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Prestige](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/418) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Prestige A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/418?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/418?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/418) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/418?window=all) Price · $2,020.54 · 2,021 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,818.49 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · 17.57% · 3 openings, odds method Variance · 13.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 3 openings · below min 30 days · 3 openings · below min since tracking started · 3 openings · below min -0.5% 215.0% 430.5% **Small sample.** 3 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/418?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/418?window=7d) | 3 | 17.57% ±412.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/418) | 3 | 17.57% ±412.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/418?window=all) | 3 | 17.57% ±412.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $185K 185,294 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $69.4K 69,420 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 667 | $51.7K 51,745 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 286 | $45K 45,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $25K 25,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $12.3K 12,272 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 100 | $7,273 7,273 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $5,621 5,621 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $4,116 4,116 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 25 | $3,257 3,257 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-katowice-2014) | 1 in 20 | $2,575 2,575 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $2,050 2,050 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $1,336 1,336 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 10.0% | $858 858 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 15.0% | $575 575 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 20.0% | $390 390 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 2 | 0.6 | — | | [AWP \| BOOM (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-factory-new) | 25.0% | $285 285 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 1 | 0.8 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=418`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=418) [AWP | BOOM (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-factory-new) Hidden $2,021 2,021 CSGOBIG\_COIN $285 285 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-08 12:09 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $2,021 2,021 CSGOBIG\_COIN $390 390 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.19x 2026-11-08 12:09 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $2,021 2,021 CSGOBIG\_COIN $390 390 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.19x 2026-11-08 12:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2,021 | 90.00% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 32.5% legendary 4.0% extraordinary 0.5% contraband 2.0% high 5.0% #EB4B4B 6.0% classified 35.0% epic 15.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt