--- title: "Skins In The City case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Skins In The City ($6.55) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.95% from 13 items with odds, observed 8.46% over 7 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/424 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Skins In The City](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/424) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Skins In The City A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/424?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/424?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/424) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/424?window=all) Price · $6.55 · 6.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.95% · EV $5.89 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 8.46% · 7 openings, odds method Variance · 6.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 3 openings · below min 7 days · 7 openings · below min 30 days · 7 openings · below min since tracking started · 7 openings · below min -0.5% 146.3% 293.0% **Small sample.** 7 openings and 0.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/424?window=24h) | 3 | 8.75% ±283.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/424?window=7d) | 7 | 8.46% ±185.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/424) | 7 | 8.46% ±185.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/424?window=all) | 7 | 8.46% ±185.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $130 130 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 22.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Victoria (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-victoria-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $90.00 90 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $39.00 39 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blueprint (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blueprint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $26.00 26 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $15.00 15 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $9.00 9 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 22.9% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) | 10.0% | $7.00 7 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 41 | $4.00 4 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ AUG \| Syd Mead (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-syd-mead-battle-scarred) | 12.5% | $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.4% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Praetorian (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-praetorian-well-worn) | 15.0% | $1.00 1 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.5% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.90× | | [UMP-45 \| Plastique (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-plastique-well-worn) | 20.0% | $0.44 0.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.14× | | [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $0.28 0.28 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.43× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=424`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=424) [StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-praetorian-well-worn) Hidden $6.55 6.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.00 1 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-11 06:39 UTC [Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) Hidden $6.55 6.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.28 0.28 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 06:39 UTC [UMP-45 | Plastique (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-plastique-well-worn) Hidden $6.55 6.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.44 0.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-11 06:39 UTC [StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-praetorian-well-worn) Hidden $6.55 6.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.00 1 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-08 21:29 UTC [UMP-45 | Plastique (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-plastique-well-worn) Hidden $6.55 6.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.44 0.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-08 21:29 UTC [UMP-45 | Plastique (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-plastique-well-worn) Hidden $6.55 6.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.44 0.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-05 13:28 UTC [Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) Hidden $6.55 6.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.28 0.28 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-05 13:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $6.55 | 89.95% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.1% covert knife 1.0% #eb4b4b 1.0% milspec 1.0% classified 25.9% restricted 15.0% #8847FF 15.0% violet 40.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.95 on average: an expected loss of $10.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt