--- title: "Lazuli case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Lazuli ($1,736.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 17 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/427 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Lazuli](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/427) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Lazuli A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/427?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/427?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/427) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/427?window=all) Price · $1,736.00 · 1,736 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,562.40 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 7.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/427?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/427?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/427) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/427?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Field Tested) - Pattern 387 knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-field-tested-pattern-387) | 1 in 10,000 | $200K 200,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 500 | $61K 61,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $41K 41,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $17.5K 17,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $13.6K 13,600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $8,500 8,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 78 | $7,200 7,200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $5,700 5,700 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $4,100 4,100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $3,400 3,400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Well-Worn) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $3,150 3,150 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $2,600 2,600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $1,900 1,900 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 10.0% | $850 850 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 13.0% | $250 250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Electric Hive (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-factory-new) | 27.7% | $49.70 49.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=427`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=427) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1,736 | 90.00% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #EB4B4B 0.0% legendary 3.2% covert 55.1% extraordinary 5.5% contraband 3.5% classified 32.7% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt