--- title: "Hive Gold case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Hive Gold ($15,963.88) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 20 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/429 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Hive Gold](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/429) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Hive Gold A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/429?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/429?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/429) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/429?window=all) Price · $15,963.88 · 15,964 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $14,367.49 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 2.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 16.6% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 73.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/429?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/429?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/429) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/429?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $480K 480,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $250K 250,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl - 4x IBP (Factory New) weapon · #E4AE39](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-4x-ibp-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $150K 150,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) - Pattern 661 StatTrak · weapon · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear-pattern-661) | 1 in 200 | $125K 125,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 200 | $75K 75,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $65K 65,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 50 | $52K 52,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $42K 42,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $33K 33,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Challengers other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-challengers) | 1 in 33 | $30K 30,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 25 | $25K 25,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 25 | $20K 20,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $17K 17,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 25 | $14K 14,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 14 | $12.6K 12,600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $10K 10,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $6,785 6,785 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) | 10.0% | $5,760 5,760 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) | 15.0% | $4,100 4,100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 20.4% | $2,960 2,960 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=429`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=429) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $16K | 90.00% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 57.8% #E4AE39 0.3% #D32CE6 0.5% legendary 19.5% remarkable 10.0% extraordinary 9.0% base 3.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt