---
title: "Jörmungandr's Curse case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Jörmungandr's Curse ($24.55) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 177.15% over 25 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/431
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:05Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Jörmungandr's Curse](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/431)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Jörmungandr's Curse

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/431?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/431?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/431) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/431?window=all)

Price · $24.55 · 24.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $22.10 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 177.15% · 25 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 81.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 17 openings · below min

30 days · 25 openings · below min

since tracking started · 25 openings · below min

49.5% 155.5% 261.5%

**Small sample.** 25 openings and 2.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/431?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/431?window=7d) | 17 | 152.08% ±101.7 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/431) | 25 | 177.15% ±83.8 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/431?window=all) | 25 | 177.15% ±83.8 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 25 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $302 302 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 41.0% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $77.00 77 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.9% | 4 | 1.5 | 2.67× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-field-tested) | 10.0% | $31.00 31 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.0% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.80× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-factory-new) | 13.0% | $16.00 16 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.4% | 4 | 3.3 | 1.23× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-factory-new) | 15.0% | $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.8% | 1 | 3.8 | 0.27× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-factory-new) | 16.0% | $6.93 6.93 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.0% | 4 | 4.0 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-dragon-tech-factory-new) | 17.0% | $3.31 3.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.5% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.71× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $0.32 0.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 5 | 5.0 | 1.00× |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=431`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=431)

[P90 | Emerald Dragon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-battle-scarred) Hidden $24.55 24.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $77.00 77 CSGOBIG\_COIN 3.14x 2026-11-08 11:29 UTC

[AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) Hidden $24.55 24.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.32 0.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 11:29 UTC

[AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) Hidden $24.55 24.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.32 0.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 11:29 UTC

[P90 | Emerald Dragon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-battle-scarred) Hidden $24.55 24.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $77.00 77 CSGOBIG\_COIN 3.14x 2026-11-08 11:29 UTC

[StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-dragon-tech-factory-new) [Necrz25](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Necrz25) $24.55 24.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.31 3.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-08 11:29 UTC

[P90 | Emerald Dragon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-battle-scarred) Hidden $24.55 24.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $77.00 77 CSGOBIG\_COIN 3.14x 2026-11-05 18:19 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) Hidden $24.55 24.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $302 302 CSGOBIG\_COIN 12.30x 2026-11-05 18:19 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-factory-new) [POTATO](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/POTATO) $24.55 24.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.93 6.93 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.28x 2026-11-05 18:19 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-factory-new) Hidden $24.55 24.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.93 6.93 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.28x 2026-11-05 04:19 UTC

[AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) Hidden $24.55 24.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.32 0.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-05 04:19 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $24.55 | 90.00% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 38.0% #d32ee6 6.0% covert 10.0% classified 13.0% Restricted 16.0% Mythical 17.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
