---
title: "Bloody Rose case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Bloody Rose ($71.03) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/432
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Bloody Rose](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/432)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Bloody Rose

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/432?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/432?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/432) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/432?window=all)

Price · $71.03 · 71.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $63.93 from 7 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 13.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/432?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/432?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/432) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/432?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 100 | $2,597 2,597 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 40.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $165 165 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $74.27 74.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 16.0% | $44.56 44.56 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 18.0% | $36.12 36.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) | 22.0% | $11.60 11.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-minimal-wear) | 24.0% | $5.46 5.46 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=432`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=432)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $71.03 | 90.00% | 7 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 50.0% classified 50.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt