--- title: "Cyber Venom case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Cyber Venom ($29.91) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 8 items with odds, observed 20.81% over 3 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/438 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Cyber Venom](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/438) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Cyber Venom A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/438?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/438?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/438) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/438?window=all) Price · $29.91 · 29.91 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $26.91 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 20.81% · 3 openings, odds method Variance · 3.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 11.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 3 openings · below min 30 days · 3 openings · below min since tracking started · 3 openings · below min -0.5% 119.0% 238.5% **Small sample.** 3 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/438?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/438?window=7d) | 3 | 20.81% ±217.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/438) | 3 | 20.81% ±217.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/438?window=all) | 3 | 20.81% ±217.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $516 516 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $126 126 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| In Living Color (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-in-living-color-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $84.37 84.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $40.87 40.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Souvenir Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-nuclear-garden-minimal-wear) | 16.0% | $19.91 19.91 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Eco (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-eco-field-tested) | 18.0% | $12.48 12.48 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-dragon-tech-factory-new) | 20.0% | $3.58 3.58 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Hot Shot (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hot-shot-well-worn) | 23.0% | $2.61 2.61 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 1 | 0.7 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=438`, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=438) [Five-SeveN | Hot Shot (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hot-shot-well-worn) Hidden $29.91 29.91 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.61 2.61 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-09 01:49 UTC [StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-eco-field-tested) Hidden $29.91 29.91 CSGOBIG\_COIN $12.48 12.48 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.42x 2026-11-09 01:49 UTC [StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-dragon-tech-factory-new) Hidden $29.91 29.91 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.58 3.58 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-09 01:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $29.91 | 89.99% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 17.0% covert 16.0% Covert 6.0% classified 18.0% Mythical 20.0% industrial 23.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt