---
title: "AWP Paradise case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "AWP Paradise ($1,740.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 7 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/44
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [AWP Paradise](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/44)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · AWP Paradise

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/44?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/44?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/44) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/44?window=all)

Price · $1,740.00 · 1,740 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $1,565.90 from 7 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 25.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/44?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/44?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/44) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/44?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $9,198 9,198 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 29.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $2,750 2,750 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $2,725 2,725 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 15.0% | $1,998 1,998 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 20.0% | $723 723 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $362 362 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-factory-new) | 20.0% | $209 209 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=44`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=44)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1,740 | 89.99% | 7 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 80.0% #d32ee6 20.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt