--- title: "Silent Assassin case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Silent Assassin ($26.57) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 79.06% over 30 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/444 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Silent Assassin](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/444) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Silent Assassin A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/444?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/444?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/444) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/444?window=all) Price · $26.57 · 26.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $23.91 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 79.06% · 30 openings, odds method Variance · 31.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 84.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 3 openings · below min 7 days · 30 openings · below min 30 days · 30 openings · below min since tracking started · 30 openings · below min -0.5% 407.5% 815.5% **Small sample.** 30 openings and 0.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/444?window=24h) | 3 | 180.40% ±634.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/444?window=7d) | 30 | 79.06% ±200.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/444) | 30 | 79.06% ±200.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/444?window=all) | 30 | 79.06% ±200.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 30 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $2,100 2,100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 43.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 40 | $141 141 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.7% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $58.13 58.13 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.3% | 2 | 0.9 | — | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 10.0% | $26.99 26.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.3% | 3 | 3.0 | 1.00× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 13.0% | $13.63 13.63 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.4% | 6 | 3.9 | 1.54× | | [MP7 \| Whiteout (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-whiteout-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $10.96 10.96 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.2% | 3 | 6.0 | 0.50× | | [MP9 \| Airlock (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-minimal-wear) | 23.0% | $4.74 4.74 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.6% | 5 | 6.9 | 0.72× | | [Galil AR \| Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-factory-new) | 28.0% | $1.40 1.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 9 | 8.4 | 1.07× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=444`, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=444) [M4A1-S | Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) Hidden $26.57 26.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $141 141 CSGOBIG\_COIN 5.31x 2026-11-11 10:49 UTC [Galil AR | Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-factory-new) [RuffandReady](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/RuffandReady) $26.57 26.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.40 1.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 10:49 UTC [Galil AR | Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-factory-new) Hidden $26.57 26.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.40 1.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 10:49 UTC [MP7 | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-whiteout-battle-scarred) Hidden $26.57 26.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $10.96 10.96 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.41x 2026-11-09 06:00 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-mecha-industries-factory-new) Hidden $26.57 26.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $26.99 26.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.02x 2026-11-09 06:00 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.57 26.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $13.63 13.63 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.51x 2026-11-09 06:00 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) [Badbetsy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Badbetsy) $26.57 26.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $13.63 13.63 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.51x 2026-11-09 06:00 UTC [Galil AR | Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-factory-new) Hidden $26.57 26.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.40 1.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-09 06:00 UTC [Galil AR | Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-factory-new) Hidden $26.57 26.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.40 1.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-09 06:00 UTC [Galil AR | Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-factory-new) Hidden $26.57 26.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.40 1.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-09 05:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $26.57 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.5% red 5.5% Legendary 10.0% classified 13.0% Mil Spec Grade 20.0% #d32ee6 23.0% Rare 28.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt