--- title: "Vice City case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Vice City ($17.12) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.01% from 7 items with odds, observed 49.73% over 17 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/446 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Vice City](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/446) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Vice City A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/446?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/446?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/446) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/446?window=all) Price · $17.12 · 17.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.01% · EV $15.41 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 49.73% · 17 openings, odds method Variance · 47.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 16 openings · below min 7 days · 17 openings · below min 30 days · 17 openings · below min since tracking started · 17 openings · below min -0.5% 194.8% 390.0% **Small sample.** 17 openings and 0.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/446?window=24h) | 16 | 51.05% ±338.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/446?window=7d) | 17 | 49.73% ±328.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/446) | 17 | 49.73% ±328.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/446?window=all) | 17 | 49.73% ±328.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 20 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,550 3,550 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 23.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $538 538 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $37.00 37 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.6% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-well-worn) | 15.0% | $19.27 19.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.8% | 3 | 3.0 | 1.00× | | [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $15.00 15 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.5% | 5 | 4.0 | 1.25× | | [AWP \| Duality (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $4.90 4.9 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.9% | 4 | 5.0 | 0.80× | | [USP-S \| Alpine Camo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-battle-scarred) | 35.0% | $1.22 1.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 8 | 7.0 | 1.14× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=446`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=446) [AK-47 | Head Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.12 17.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN $15.00 15 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.88x 2026-11-11 12:59 UTC [AK-47 | Head Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.12 17.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN $15.00 15 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.88x 2026-11-11 12:59 UTC [Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-well-worn) [Firsty91](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Firsty91) $17.12 17.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN $19.27 19.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.13x 2026-11-11 12:59 UTC [USP-S | Alpine Camo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-battle-scarred) Hidden $17.12 17.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.22 1.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-11 12:59 UTC [USP-S | Alpine Camo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-battle-scarred) Hidden $17.12 17.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.22 1.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-11 12:49 UTC [AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.12 17.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.90 4.9 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.29x 2026-11-11 12:49 UTC [USP-S | Alpine Camo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-battle-scarred) Hidden $17.12 17.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.22 1.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-11 12:49 UTC [USP-S | Alpine Camo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-battle-scarred) Hidden $17.12 17.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.22 1.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-11 04:29 UTC [AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.12 17.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.90 4.9 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.29x 2026-11-11 04:29 UTC [USP-S | Alpine Camo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-battle-scarred) Hidden $17.12 17.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.22 1.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-11 04:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $17.12 | 90.01% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.6% covert 4.4% classified 15.0% Covert 20.0% Classified 25.0% Rare 35.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.01 on average: an expected loss of $9.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt