--- title: "Goldmine case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Goldmine ($420.53) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 18 items with odds, observed 10.58% over 2 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/448 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Goldmine](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/448) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Goldmine A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/448?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/448?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/448) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/448?window=all) Price · $420.53 · 421 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $378.48 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 10.58% · 2 openings, odds method Variance · 5.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 30 days · 2 openings · below min since tracking started · 2 openings · below min -0.5% 168.5% 337.5% **Small sample.** 2 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/448?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/448?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/448) | 2 | 10.58% ±326.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/448?window=all) | 2 | 10.58% ±326.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $45.3K 45,290 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $14K 14,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 714 | $9,600 9,600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $6,500 6,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $5,500 5,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 143 | $4,300 4,300 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $3,000 3,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $1,900 1,900 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $1,500 1,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $1,162 1,162 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $950 950 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-classic-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $584 584 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $250 250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $75.00 75 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $43.00 43 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AK-47 \| The Empress (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-well-worn) | 17.0% | $23.00 23 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| Snax (Foil) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-snax-foil-krakow-2017) | 25.5% | $14.00 14 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 1 | 0.5 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=448`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=448) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $421 | 90.00% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 50.1% contraband 0.4% legendary 6.0% extraordinary 12.0% epic 6.0% remarkable 25.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. 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