--- title: "50-50 case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "50-50 ($14.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 69.73% over 17 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/45 rendered: 2026-11-11T22:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [50-50](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/45) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · 50-50 A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/45?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/45?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/45) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/45?window=all) Price · $14.00 · 14 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $12.60 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 69.73% · 17 openings, odds method Variance · 1.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 25.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 16 openings · below min 30 days · 17 openings · below min since tracking started · 17 openings · below min 9.0% 72.8% 136.5% **Small sample.** 17 openings and 4.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/45?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/45?window=7d) | 16 | 74.07% ±61.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/45) | 17 | 69.73% ±59.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/45?window=all) | 17 | 69.73% ±59.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 19 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Lt. Commander (Battle-Scarred) gloves · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lt-commander-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $127 127 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $43.00 43 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $39.00 39 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 26.3% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× | | [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-well-worn) | 13.0% | $24.00 24 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 24.8% | 6 | 2.5 | 2.43× | | [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $15.20 15.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 30.2% | 3 | 4.8 | 0.63× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) | 50.0% | $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 10 | 9.5 | 1.05× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=45`, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=45) [Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) [PepaRambo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/PepaRambo) $14.00 14 CSGOBIG\_COIN $15.20 15.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.09x 2026-11-09 23:20 UTC [Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.00 14 CSGOBIG\_COIN $15.20 15.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.09x 2026-11-09 23:20 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.00 14 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:20 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.00 14 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:20 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.00 14 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 11:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.00 14 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 11:49 UTC [M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-well-worn) Hidden $14.00 14 CSGOBIG\_COIN $24.00 24 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.71x 2026-11-07 11:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.00 14 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 11:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) [st](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/st) $14.00 14 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 11:49 UTC [M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-well-worn) Hidden $14.00 14 CSGOBIG\_COIN $24.00 24 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.71x 2026-11-07 11:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $14.00 | 90.00% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #EB4B4B 1.0% red 2.5% covert 8.5% classified 13.0% Classified 25.0% consumer 50.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt