--- title: "Collector case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Collector ($3,925.89) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 22 items with odds, observed 31.84% over 1 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/450 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Collector](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/450) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Collector A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/450?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/450?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/450) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/450?window=all) Price · $3,925.89 · 3,926 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $3,533.30 from 22 items Observed RTP, 30d · 31.84% · 1 openings, odds method Variance · 4.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.6% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 1 openings · below min 7 days · 1 openings · below min 30 days · 1 openings · below min since tracking started · 1 openings · below min -0.5% 233.8% 468.0% **Small sample.** 1 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/450?window=24h) | 1 | 31.84% ±435.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/450?window=7d) | 1 | 31.84% ±435.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/450) | 1 | 31.84% ±435.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/450?window=all) | 1 | 31.84% ±435.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $206K 205,865 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $68.4K 68,374 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $54.7K 54,745 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $45.3K 45,290 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 333 | $41K 41,020 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $27.6K 27,570 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 143 | $25K 25,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) | 1 in 100 | $22.5K 22,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 77 | $19.3K 19,250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 59 | $15.4K 15,450 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $7,981 7,981 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 40 | $6,500 6,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $5,750 5,750 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $5,000 5,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $4,089 4,089 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 21 | $3,650 3,650 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 18 | $3,050 3,050 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 14 | $2,100 2,100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 11 | $1,500 1,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 12.3% | $1,250 1,250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-minimal-wear) | 14.1% | $950 950 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) | 25.0% | $550 550 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=450`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) [DPG (ಠ\_ಠ)](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/DPG%20%28%E0%B2%A0_%E0%B2%A0%29) $3,926 3,926 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1,250 1,250 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.32x 2026-11-11 08:50 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=450) [★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) [DPG (ಠ\_ಠ)](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/DPG%20%28%E0%B2%A0_%E0%B2%A0%29) $3,926 3,926 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1,250 1,250 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.32x 2026-11-11 08:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3,926 | 90.00% | 22 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 62.8% legendary 27.3% remarkable 1.6% extraordinary 4.3% base 1.0% contraband 3.0% best hit $1,250 (0.32x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt