---
title: "Opulence case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Opulence ($652.16) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 19 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/452
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:36Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Opulence](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/452)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Opulence

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/452?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/452?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/452) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/452?window=all)

Price · $652.16 · 652 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $586.94 from 19 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 23.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 18 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 77.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/452?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/452?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/452) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/452?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| Howl - 4x IBP (Factory New) weapon · #E4AE39](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-4x-ibp-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $150K 150,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) - Pattern 661 StatTrak · weapon · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear-pattern-661) | 1 in 3,333 | $100K 100,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $61K 61,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $35K 35,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 909 | $21.5K 21,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $15K 15,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 588 | $11.5K 11,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 500 | $8,250 8,250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $6,700 6,700 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 77 | $3,800 3,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 33 | $2,200 2,200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $1,500 1,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 19 | $1,100 1,100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $800 800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $350 350 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $200 200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $125 125 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Stalker (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-stalker-battle-scarred) | 24.0% | $50.00 50 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 30.0% | $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=452`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=452)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $652 | 90.00% | 19 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed #E4AE39 0.0% #D32CE6 0.0% legendary 0.2% covert 53.8% remarkable 0.1% contraband 0.4% #EB4B4B 3.0% restricted 4.4% covert knife 8.0% mil spec 30.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
