--- title: "Cryptic case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Cryptic ($228.68) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 11 items with odds, observed 1.18% over 3 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/455 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Cryptic](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/455) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Cryptic A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/455?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/455?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/455) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/455?window=all) Price · $228.68 · 229 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $205.81 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 1.18% · 3 openings, odds method Variance · 198.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 500 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 3 openings · below min 30 days · 3 openings · below min since tracking started · 3 openings · below min -0.5% 798.3% 1597.0% **Small sample.** 3 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/455?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/455?window=7d) | 3 | 1.18% ±1595.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/455) | 3 | 1.18% ±1595.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/455?window=all) | 3 | 1.18% ±1595.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $85K 85,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 41.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $45K 45,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 21.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Challengers other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-challengers) | 1 in 1,000 | $27K 27,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,000 | $14.5K 14,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $11.5K 11,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $8,200 8,200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,900 4,900 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,550 3,550 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,300 2,300 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,200 1,200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) | 99.0% | $2.69 2.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 3 | 3.0 | 1.01× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=455`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=455) [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $229 229 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.69 2.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 17:30 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $229 229 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.69 2.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 17:30 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $229 229 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.69 2.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 17:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $229 | 90.00% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.3% covert 0.5% base 0.1% epic 0.1% remarkable 99.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt