---
title: "Cache-22 case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Cache-22 ($11.69) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 150.98% over 13 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/458
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:44Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Cache-22](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/458)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Cache-22

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/458?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/458?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/458) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/458?window=all)

Price · $11.69 · 11.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $10.52 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 150.98% · 13 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 11.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 6 openings · below min

7 days · 13 openings · below min

30 days · 13 openings · below min

since tracking started · 13 openings · below min

-0.5% 129.5% 259.5%

**Small sample.** 13 openings and 1.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/458?window=24h) | 6 | 97.31% ±158.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/458?window=7d) | 13 | 150.98% ±107.8 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/458) | 13 | 150.98% ±107.8 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/458?window=all) | 13 | 150.98% ±107.8 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $700 700 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $700 700 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $550 550 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $450 450 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 20,000 | $380 380 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $380 380 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $300 300 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $298 298 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $160 160 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Emerald (Field-Tested) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $71.00 71 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-well-worn) | 1 in 35 | $69.00 69 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.9% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Rainbow Spoon (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rainbow-spoon-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $68.00 68 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.4% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $54.00 54 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 23.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $23.00 23 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $23.00 23 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.4% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.97× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) | 75.0% | $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 9 | 9.8 | 0.92× |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=458`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=458)

[R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) [NbWzen](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/NbWzen) $11.69 11.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 20:20 UTC

[Galil AR | Rainbow Spoon (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rainbow-spoon-factory-new) Hidden $11.69 11.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN $68.00 68 CSGOBIG\_COIN 5.82x 2026-11-10 20:20 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) Hidden $11.69 11.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 20:20 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) Hidden $11.69 11.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 20:20 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) Hidden $11.69 11.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 20:20 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) Hidden $11.69 11.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 20:20 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) Hidden $11.69 11.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 07:19 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) [DaSpiderX](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/DaSpiderX) $11.69 11.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 06:59 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) Hidden $11.69 11.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN $23.00 23 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.97x 2026-11-07 01:39 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) Hidden $11.69 11.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 01:39 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $11.69 | 90.00% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed sunny 0.0% covert 10.6% extraordinary 0.1% gold 0.5% rare 5.9% Legendary 8.0% #B0C3D9 75.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt