--- title: "Meme Lord case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Meme Lord ($597.13) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 17 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/461 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Meme Lord](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/461) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Meme Lord A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/461?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/461?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/461) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/461?window=all) Price · $597.13 · 597 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $537.42 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 0.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 36.6% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 43.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/461?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/461?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/461) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/461?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 10,000 | $12.5K 12,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $9,000 9,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Minimal Wear) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $5,500 5,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $4,500 4,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $3,500 3,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 217 | $2,250 2,250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| The Prince (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-battle-scarred) | 1 in 115 | $1,900 1,900 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $1,700 1,700 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 111 | $1,500 1,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $1,300 1,300 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $1,050 1,050 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $1,000 1,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $850 850 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-factory-new) | 15.0% | $800 800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 22.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $750 750 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 27.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) | 20.0% | $15.00 15 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-well-worn) | 23.4% | $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=461`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=461) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $597 | 90.00% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 48.3% legendary 1.2% contraband 0.1% extraordinary 0.5% classified 24.9% covert knife 5.0% mil spec 20.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt