--- title: "Dream.exe case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Dream.exe ($19.37) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.01% from 13 items with odds, observed 56.43% over 29 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/464 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Dream.exe](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/464) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Dream.exe A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/464?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/464?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/464) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/464?window=all) Price · $19.37 · 19.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.01% · EV $17.43 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 56.43% · 29 openings, odds method Variance · 73.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 73.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 28 openings · below min 30 days · 29 openings · below min since tracking started · 29 openings · below min -0.5% 184.5% 369.5% **Small sample.** 29 openings and 2.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/464?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/464?window=7d) | 28 | 49.23% ±317.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/464) | 29 | 56.43% ±312.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/464?window=all) | 29 | 56.43% ±312.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 29 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $15K 15,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,800 2,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $500 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 145 | $260 260 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [ESL One Cologne 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-cologne-2014-legends) | 1 in 100 | $90.00 90 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-sugar-rush-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $80.00 80 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [USP-S \| Caiman (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $50.00 50 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.6% | 2 | 0.9 | — | | [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.0% | 2 | 2.0 | 0.99× | | [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-battle-scarred) | 13.0% | $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.9% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.80× | | [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-well-worn) | 10.0% | $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.7% | 5 | 2.9 | 1.72× | | [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-battle-scarred) | 19.0% | $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 6 | 5.5 | 1.09× | | [AUG \| Colony (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-colony-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 3 | 5.8 | 0.52× | | [P250 \| Nevermore (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-well-worn) | 24.0% | $1.00 1 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 8 | 7.0 | 1.15× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=464`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=464) [AUG | Colony (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-colony-battle-scarred) Hidden $19.37 19.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-09 22:30 UTC [AK-47 | Leet Museo (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-well-worn) Hidden $19.37 19.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.55x 2026-11-09 22:30 UTC [M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-well-worn) Hidden $19.37 19.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.52x 2026-11-09 22:30 UTC [Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-battle-scarred) [PepaRambo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/PepaRambo) $19.37 19.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.26x 2026-11-09 22:30 UTC [USP-S | Caiman (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-minimal-wear) Hidden $19.37 19.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN $50.00 50 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.58x 2026-11-09 22:30 UTC [Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-battle-scarred) Hidden $19.37 19.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.26x 2026-11-09 22:30 UTC [AK-47 | Orbit Mk01 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-battle-scarred) [Kryux](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Kryux) $19.37 19.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.03x 2026-11-09 15:09 UTC [P250 | Nevermore (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-well-worn) Hidden $19.37 19.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.00 1 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-09 15:09 UTC [P250 | Nevermore (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-well-worn) Hidden $19.37 19.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.00 1 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-09 15:09 UTC [Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-battle-scarred) Hidden $19.37 19.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.26x 2026-11-09 08:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $19.37 | 90.01% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 27.0% base 1.0% classified 15.0% restricted 37.0% #777777 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.01 on average: an expected loss of $9.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt