---
title: "Glitch Zone case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Glitch Zone ($52.46) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 13 items with odds, observed 0.02% over 38 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/465
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Glitch Zone](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/465)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Glitch Zone

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/465?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/465?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/465) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/465?window=all)

Price · $52.46 · 52.46 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $47.21 from 13 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 0.02% · 38 openings, odds method

Variance · 31.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 74 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 2 openings · below min

7 days · 18 openings · below min

30 days · 38 openings · below min

since tracking started · 38 openings · below min

-0.5% 389.8% 780.0%

**Small sample.** 38 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/465?window=24h) | 2 | 0.02% ±779.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/465?window=7d) | 18 | 0.02% ±259.9 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/465) | 38 | 0.02% ±178.8 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/465?window=all) | 38 | 0.02% ±178.8 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 38 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $13K 13,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $5,000 5,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,000 4,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $3,000 3,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 500 | $1,750 1,750 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $1,300 1,300 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $1,000 1,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Stained (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $900 900 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) | 1 in 133 | $800 800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 111 | $700 700 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $500 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 21.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [P250 \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) | 45.0% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 18 | 17.1 | 1.05× |
| [Nova \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) | 50.0% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 20 | 19.0 | 1.05× |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=465`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=465)

[Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $52.46 52.46 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:09 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) [smschico =\]===>](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/smschico%20%3D%5D%3D%3D%3D%26gt%3B) $52.46 52.46 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:09 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $52.46 52.46 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:59 UTC

[Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $52.46 52.46 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:59 UTC

[Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $52.46 52.46 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:59 UTC

[Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $52.46 52.46 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:59 UTC

[Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $52.46 52.46 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 13:39 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $52.46 52.46 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 13:39 UTC

[Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $52.46 52.46 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 06:18 UTC

[Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $52.46 52.46 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 14:19 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $52.46 | 89.99% | 13 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 0.0% legendary 0.1% Covert 1.0% covert 2.5% classified 0.3% #EB4B4B 0.3% gold 0.8% consumer 95.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt