--- title: "Streamer case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Streamer ($9.05) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 18 items with odds, observed 55.35% over 33 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/468 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Streamer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/468) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Streamer A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/468?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/468?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/468) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/468?window=all) Price · $9.05 · 9.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $8.14 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 55.35% · 33 openings, odds method Variance · 83.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 67.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 33 openings · below min 30 days · 33 openings · below min since tracking started · 33 openings · below min -0.5% 386.3% 773.0% **Small sample.** 33 openings and 2.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/468?window=24h) | 6 | 42.63% ±729.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/468?window=7d) | 33 | 55.35% ±311.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/468) | 33 | 55.35% ±311.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/468?window=all) | 33 | 55.35% ±311.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 33 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 100,000 | $15K 15,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100,000 | $11K 11,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 20,000 | $5,250 5,250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 12,500 | $3,500 3,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,800 1,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,300 1,300 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,000 1,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 2,222 | $500 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $290 290 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $120 120 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [USP-S \| Caiman (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $50.00 50 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Groundwater (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-groundwater-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.4% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.01× | | [Desert Eagle \| Night (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-well-worn) | 10.0% | $15.00 15 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.4% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.91× | | [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-well-worn) | 15.0% | $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.4% | 5 | 5.0 | 1.01× | | [Souvenir AWP \| Acheron (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-acheron-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.9% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.38× | | [P250 \| Nevermore (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-well-worn) | 15.0% | $1.00 1 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 11 | 5.0 | 2.22× | | [Stockholm 2021 Finalists Autograph Capsule container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/stockholm-2021-finalists-autograph-capsule) | 19.0% | $0.68 0.68 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 5 | 6.3 | 0.80× | | [Paris 2023 Contenders Autograph Capsule container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/paris-2023-contenders-autograph-capsule) | 25.3% | $0.15 0.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 6 | 8.3 | 0.72× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=468`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=468) [M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-well-worn) Hidden $9.05 9.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.10x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC [Paris 2023 Contenders Autograph Capsule container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/paris-2023-contenders-autograph-capsule) Hidden $9.05 9.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.15 0.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 02:29 UTC [P250 | Nevermore (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-well-worn) Hidden $9.05 9.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.00 1 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 02:29 UTC [P250 | Nevermore (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-well-worn) Hidden $9.05 9.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.00 1 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-10 23:20 UTC [P250 | Nevermore (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-well-worn) Hidden $9.05 9.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.00 1 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-10 23:20 UTC [M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-well-worn) Hidden $9.05 9.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.10x 2026-11-10 23:20 UTC [Desert Eagle | Night (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-well-worn) [TW SyroG0](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/TW%20SyroG0) $9.05 9.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN $15.00 15 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.66x 2026-11-10 08:39 UTC [Stockholm 2021 Finalists Autograph Capsule container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/stockholm-2021-finalists-autograph-capsule) Hidden $9.05 9.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.68 0.68 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-09 06:49 UTC [P250 | Nevermore (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-well-worn) Hidden $9.05 9.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.00 1 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-09 06:49 UTC [Paris 2023 Contenders Autograph Capsule container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/paris-2023-contenders-autograph-capsule) Hidden $9.05 9.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.15 0.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 06:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $9.05 | 90.00% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.2% legendary 0.0% classified 16.0% restricted 15.5% industrial 16.0% Mil Spec 8.0% #B0C3D9 44.3% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt