---
title: "Architect case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Architect ($24.11) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 109.91% over 6 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/469
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:06Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Architect](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/469)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Architect

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/469?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/469?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/469) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/469?window=all)

Price · $24.11 · 24.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $21.70 from 9 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 109.91% · 6 openings, odds method

Variance · 134.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 62.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 3 openings · below min

7 days · 6 openings · below min

30 days · 6 openings · below min

since tracking started · 6 openings · below min

-0.5% 716.3% 1433.0%

**Small sample.** 6 openings and 0.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/469?window=24h) | 3 | 120.28% ±1312.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/469?window=7d) | 6 | 109.91% ±927.9 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/469) | 6 | 109.91% ±927.9 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/469?window=all) | 6 | 109.91% ±927.9 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 10,000 | $20K 20,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 10,000 | $15K 15,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $10K 10,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 10,000 | $7,500 7,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $65.00 65 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-well-worn) | 10.0% | $37.00 37 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.1% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 23.0% | $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 26.5% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.17× |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-field-tested) | 27.0% | $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.4% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× |
| [Sticker \| Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) | 35.0% | $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.8% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=469`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=469)

[USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-well-worn) Hidden $24.11 24.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN $37.00 37 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.53x 2026-11-10 23:20 UTC

[AWP | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) Hidden $24.11 24.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.04x 2026-11-10 23:20 UTC

[AWP | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) Hidden $24.11 24.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.04x 2026-11-10 23:20 UTC

[AWP | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) Hidden $24.11 24.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.04x 2026-11-09 02:09 UTC

[USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-well-worn) Hidden $24.11 24.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN $37.00 37 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.53x 2026-11-09 02:09 UTC

[M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-field-tested) Hidden $24.11 24.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.41x 2026-11-09 02:09 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $24.11 | 90.00% | 9 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 65.0% legendary 0.0% remarkable 35.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
