--- title: "Bargain case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Bargain ($2.41) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 81.62% over 152 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/47 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Bargain](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/47) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Bargain A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/47?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/47?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/47) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/47?window=all) Price · $2.41 · 2.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $2.17 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 81.62% · 152 openings, odds method Variance · 2.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 75.93% ±28.96 115 openings 30 days · 81.62% ±25.19 152 openings since tracking started · 81.62% ±25.19 152 openings 46.5% 77.0% 107.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/47?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/47?window=7d) | 115 | 75.93% ±29.0 | −1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/47) | 152 | 81.62% ±25.2 | −0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/47?window=all) | 152 | 81.62% ±25.2 | −0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 152 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $22.00 22 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 25.4% | 2 | 3.8 | 0.53× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $6.50 6.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.5% | 5 | 3.8 | 1.32× | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-roll-cage-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $5.60 5.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.5% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.79× | | [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $5.50 5.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.7% | 10 | 7.6 | 1.32× | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $4.50 4.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.6% | 10 | 11.4 | 0.88× | | [M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) | 20.0% | $3.40 3.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 31.4% | 30 | 30.4 | 0.99× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) | 60.0% | $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 92 | 91.2 | 1.01× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=47`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=47) [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.41 2.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 19:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) [Zor](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Zor) $2.41 2.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 19:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) [Zor](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Zor) $2.41 2.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 19:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.41 2.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 19:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.41 2.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 17:20 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.41 2.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 17:20 UTC [M4A1-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) [Chicken WIng](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Chicken%20WIng) $2.41 2.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.40 3.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.41x 2026-11-08 17:20 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.41 2.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 17:20 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.41 2.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 17:20 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) Hidden $2.41 2.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.50 4.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.87x 2026-11-08 17:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.41 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 12.5% covert 2.5% Ancient 5.0% mil spec 20.0% consumer 60.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt