---
title: "50-50 case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "50-50 ($20.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 20 items with odds, observed 60.39% over 59 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/5
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:54Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [50-50](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/5)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · 50-50

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/5?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/5?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/5) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/5?window=all)

Price · $20.00 · 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $18.00 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 60.39% · 59 openings, odds method

Variance · 6.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 77.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 3 openings · below min

7 days · 58 openings · below min

30 days · 59 openings · below min

since tracking started · 59 openings · below min

-0.5% 171.3% 343.0%

**Small sample.** 59 openings and 5.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/5?window=24h) | 3 | 56.42% ±286.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/5?window=7d) | 58 | 61.19% ±65.1 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/5) | 59 | 60.39% ±64.5 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/5?window=all) | 59 | 60.39% ±64.5 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 59 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Asiimov (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $550 550 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $300 300 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $46.47 46.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.5% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.36× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-well-worn) | 1 in 43 | $45.50 45.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.8% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.74× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $45.00 45 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.5% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.13× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-ocean-drive-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $27.00 27 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.3% | 5 | 2.1 | 2.42× |
| [Souvenir AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-green-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 38 | $23.61 23.61 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Digital Architect (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-digital-architect-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $20.48 20.48 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.0% | 5 | 4.1 | 1.21× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-phantom-disruptor-well-worn) | 27.4% | $13.74 13.74 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.9% | 12 | 16.2 | 0.74× |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-well-worn) | 1 in 15 | $6.37 6.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.3% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.03× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 1 in 63 | $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [Souvenir MAC-10 \| Indigo (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-indigo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $2.76 2.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.36× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $2.41 2.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.89× |
| [Souvenir FAMAS \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $2.09 2.09 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 3 | 4.1 | 0.73× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Acid Etched (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-acid-etched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 5 | 1.8 | 2.82× |
| [MP7 \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-scorched-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 4 | 3.5 | 1.13× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Turf (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-turf-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $1.99 1.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.36× |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $1.96 1.96 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 4 | 4.1 | 0.97× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Smarmy (Monster Purple) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-smarmy-monster-purple) | 1 in 21 | $1.18 1.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.06× |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=5`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=5)

[P250 | See Ya Later (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-well-worn) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.37 6.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.32x 2026-11-11 00:39 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-phantom-disruptor-well-worn) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $13.74 13.74 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.69x 2026-11-11 00:39 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-phantom-disruptor-well-worn) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $13.74 13.74 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.69x 2026-11-11 00:39 UTC

[StatTrak™ P2000 | Acid Etched (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-acid-etched-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-10 18:19 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-phantom-disruptor-well-worn) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $13.74 13.74 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.69x 2026-11-10 18:19 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Smarmy (Monster Purple) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-smarmy-monster-purple) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.18 1.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 18:19 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-ocean-drive-well-worn) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $27.00 27 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.35x 2026-11-10 18:19 UTC

[P250 | Digital Architect (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-digital-architect-field-tested) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $20.48 20.48 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.02x 2026-11-10 18:19 UTC

[P250 | See Ya Later (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-well-worn) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.37 6.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.32x 2026-11-10 18:19 UTC

[P250 | Wingshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.96 1.96 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-10 18:19 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $20.00 | 90.00% | 20 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed #EB4B4B 0.5% covert knife 1.2% classified 30.7% covert 15.4% mil spec 2.6% restricted 24.3% #B0C3D9 7.3% Mil Spec Grade 12.0% Consumer Grade 6.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt