--- title: "AK Haven case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "AK Haven ($63.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 11 items with odds, observed 108.25% over 5 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/52 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [AK Haven](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/52) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · AK Haven A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/52?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/52?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/52) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/52?window=all) Price · $63.00 · 63 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $56.70 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 108.25% · 5 openings, odds method Variance · 12.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 10 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 5 openings · below min 30 days · 5 openings · below min since tracking started · 5 openings · below min -0.5% 206.3% 413.0% **Small sample.** 5 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/52?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/52?window=7d) | 5 | 108.25% ±304.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/52) | 5 | 108.25% ±304.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/52?window=all) | 5 | 108.25% ±304.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $5,700 5,700 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,920 1,920 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $1,640 1,640 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $1,337 1,337 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $880 880 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $400 400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $160 160 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 25.4% | 2 | 0.4 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 15.0% | $89.00 89 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 23.5% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) | 15.0% | $57.44 57.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.2% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $12.00 12 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.2% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× | | [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-battle-scarred) | 40.0% | $4.50 4.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.00× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=52`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=52) [AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) Hidden $63.00 63 CSGOBIG\_COIN $160 160 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.54x 2026-11-08 09:19 UTC [AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) Hidden $63.00 63 CSGOBIG\_COIN $160 160 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.54x 2026-11-08 09:19 UTC [AK-47 | Safety Net (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-battle-scarred) Hidden $63.00 63 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.50 4.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-08 09:19 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) [Steve4K](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Steve4K) $63.00 63 CSGOBIG\_COIN $12.00 12 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.19x 2026-11-08 09:19 UTC [AK-47 | Safety Net (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-battle-scarred) Hidden $63.00 63 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.50 4.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-08 09:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $63.00 | 90.00% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 39.8% classified 0.2% restricted 20.0% Mythical 40.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt